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Hazard Risk Per Resident — By Jurisdiction
The same FEMA data, ranked by expected annual loss per resident instead of the county total -- so a small county with real exposure isn't buried under a handful of huge ones. Shown alongside Social Vulnerability and Community Resilience: what actually separates a bad storm from a catastrophe.
A raw total rewards scale — a huge county racks up a bigger number partly because there's simply more there to lose, not because any one resident faces more danger. Dividing by population fixes that. But the dollar figure alone still isn't the whole story: Social Vulnerability and Community Resilience are what actually separate a bad storm from a catastrophe — Hurricane Katrina made landfall as "only" a strong Category 3, and it became the deadliest disaster in this dataset's memory because of who could evacuate and whether the levees held, not because the wind was unsurvivable. Money buys mobility — a car, a place to go, the ability to miss work — so Lack of Reliable Transportation (the share of adults without it) is shown alongside as the closest available read on who actually can't leave. A high resilience score today can reflect real rebuilding since a past disaster, not a claim that the disaster didn't happen.

A small county landing near the top of this list isn't a math artifact to wave away — it's a different kind of signal than a big county in the same spot. The same dollar total that would barely register against Los Angeles's economy can be a meaningful share of a small county's whole tax base, workforce, or population. A high per-resident number in a small place isn't necessarily "this individual is in more danger" — it's closer to "one bad year could reshape this place's economy or its culture," which a huge, diverse county can absorb in a way a small one can't. Population is shown for every row so you can read the number in that context, not to discount it.
31 jurisdictions ranked, highest expected loss per resident first
# Jurisdiction Expected Loss / Resident / Yr Population Counties Social Vulnerability Community Resilience Lacks Transportation
1 Alaska (AK) $1,282 733,971 30 27.2 26.3 9.3%
2 California (CA) $770 39,242,785 58 39.6 34.0 9.6%
3 Hawaii (HI) $744 1,445,635 5 31.8 65.6 8.1%
4 Louisiana (LA) $725 4,621,025 64 65.9 70.0 11.8%
5 Montana (MT) $717 1,105,072 56 31.7 58.5 8.1%
6 Nebraska (NE) $680 1,965,926 93 19.5 72.2 7.0%
7 Missouri (MO) $638 6,168,181 115 32.5 64.3 8.8%
8 Kansas (KS) $606 2,937,569 105 26.5 67.7 7.5%
9 Arkansas (AR) $583 3,032,651 75 56.9 42.3 10.3%
10 Iowa (IA) $574 3,195,937 99 23.3 86.6 7.2%
11 Mississippi (MS) $555 2,951,438 82 68.7 52.9 12.5%
12 Kentucky (KY) $524 4,510,725 120 48.8 59.5
13 Illinois (IL) $505 12,692,653 102 42.0 77.4 8.4%
14 Alabama (AL) $496 5,054,253 67 58.7 59.8 10.3%
15 Arizona (AZ) $495 7,268,175 15 40.5 16.9 9.2%
16 Minnesota (MN) $452 5,713,716 87 22.0 93.8 7.4%
17 New Mexico (NM) $444 1,360,601 18 57.2 24.5 11.8%
18 Nevada (NV) $437 3,141,000 17 41.9 12.6 10.4%
19 District of Columbia (DC) $435 672,079 1 40.9 93.3 7.8%
20 Idaho (ID) $405 1,893,296 44 21.3 54.9 7.8%
21 Florida (FL) $401 21,928,881 67 52.4 37.5
22 Delaware (DE) $375 1,005,872 3 39.5 74.6 8.3%
23 Colorado (CO) $373 5,810,774 64 17.4 58.9
24 Indiana (IN) $348 6,811,752 92 35.1 71.6 8.1%
25 New Jersey (NJ) $347 9,267,014 21 44.6 66.2 7.8%
26 New Hampshire (NH) $333 1,387,834 10 15.3 72.0 6.1%
27 Georgia (GA) $309 10,822,590 159 34.4 42.3 9.8%
28 Maine (ME) $302 1,377,400 16 28.2 87.1 8.5%
29 Michigan (MI) $284 10,051,595 83 39.8 82.0 8.8%
30 Massachusetts (MA) $211 6,992,395 14 30.1 90.7 7.9%
31 Maryland (MD) $172 6,170,738 24 30.9 72.7 8.2%