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Everything I've read closely enough to write down — essays, arguments, and the occasional rant, all of it sourced.
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The tax nobody sees you paying
August 6, 2026 · 5 min read
Two ways to say the exact same thing: "no fronting" and "do not pretend." One is publishable in a formal paper. The other isn't -- not because it's less true, but because of who…
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The federal agency that manages more land than any other, and that most Americans couldn't name
August 6, 2026 · 3 min read
The Bureau of Land Management controls 245 million acres -- one-tenth of the entire country, three times more than the National Park Service. Yellowstone and Yosemite are…
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The banjo was never a hillbilly instrument
August 6, 2026 · 3 min read
An instrument built from memory, not brought on a ship -- carried in the heads of enslaved Africans who couldn't bring the object itself, then rebuilt in the Americas from…
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Why Appalachian whites are not New England whites
August 6, 2026 · 5 min read
Crime statistics and educational outcomes get read as if "white" were one uniform baseline everyone else gets measured against. It isn't. Massachusetts has the highest median…
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What school lunch actually costs — one price to make it, three mechanisms for what you pay
August 5, 2026 · 4 min read
Making a school lunch costs about the same $3.99 almost everywhere. What a family is charged for it swings from free to $5.50 a tray, and the gap isn't regional cost of living --…
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Forced to take that route — necessity, not opportunity, is now the majority reason Americans start a business
August 5, 2026 · 2 min read
Two-thirds of new entrepreneurs in the latest national survey cite job scarcity as their reason for starting a business, not a good idea they couldn't pass up -- and that share…
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Forty-four years — from a paper a Nobel laureate said was impossible to a line on this site's own chart
August 5, 2026 · 3 min read
In 1976, a Nobel-winning chemist told a young MIT engineer his idea couldn't work. He kept trying anyway. Forty-four years later, what came out of that persistence became a…
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Two curves, one word — "entrepreneur" means something different depending which chart you're reading
August 5, 2026 · 3 min read
The survey that measures who's starting things says 18-24 year-olds, at the highest rate on record. The Census-linked research that measures who actually builds something that…
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America doesn't feel one way — Reston is not South Boston
August 5, 2026 · 4 min read
The median household in Newark earns $52,060 a year. In the same country, Palo Alto's median household earns $231,101 -- 4.4 times as much. One national unemployment number, one…
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Why so many more degrees — government, the market, access, and prosperity, pulling at once
August 4, 2026 · 4 min read
The US population grew 1.6x since 1970. Bachelor's degrees grew 2.7x. That gap isn't population -- it's four separate forces, each with its own date and its own mechanism, that…
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Who does which work — four ways the arc bends, and one that takes a generation
August 4, 2026 · 3 min read
Government put a Black man in the Cabinet two decades before industry put one in a corner office. A nursing school in Alabama is recruiting men into scrubs right now. Rosie the…
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Same trade, different ratios — why the US, Brazil, and Haiti look nothing alike today
August 4, 2026 · 4 min read
The US received 4% of the transatlantic slave trade and grew its own population through birth; Brazil received 40% and needed constant new arrivals because plantation mortality…
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Sector migration — why Moab became mountain biking's home, and Downeast Maine stayed sailing's
August 4, 2026 · 4 min read
Three competing explanations for why a specific activity clusters in a specific place -- geography, government, and personal preference -- and which one actually carries the…
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Santa Fe — the only successful Native uprising against a European colonial power in North America
August 4, 2026 · 6 min read
In 1680 Pueblo peoples drove Spanish colonizers out of New Mexico for twelve years -- and the same small city later became a zoning-mandated tourist brand, the secret front door…
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Held to its own word — the founders' contradiction, and three men who answered it on its own terms
August 4, 2026 · 7 min read
Washington, Jefferson, and Hamilton each fell short of the country's own promise in a different, documented way -- and Douglass, King, and Malcolm X each answered that gap by…
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Who became "white," and when
August 2, 2026 · 3 min read
Irish, Italian, and Jewish Americans became "white" on three different timelines, through three different institutional mechanisms — proof it was a status, not a pigment.
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Why venture capital wasn't always an industry
August 2, 2026 · 3 min read
Two policy decisions, eighteen months apart, turned a boutique activity into an industry.
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US immigration patterns — the country didn't start at Plymouth Rock
August 2, 2026 · 2 min read
An English colony, and the first enslaved Africans brought to it, were both already in Virginia a decade before the story most Americans are taught even begins.
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One arc — why Newark, Detroit, and Harlem are the same story told three times
August 2, 2026 · 4 min read
The Great Migration, Ford's assembly line, and HBCUs explain all three cities at once, not three separate local stories.
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An $87 Billion Bill to Fund the Iran War Includes $1 Billion for a New York Train Station. Farmers Are Still Waiting on Theirs.
August 2, 2026 · 10 min read
The Strait of Hormuz is 21 miles wide. What actually determines who in America absorbs a war fought over it isn't the water -- it's a spending bill still sitting in Congress, and…
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Cycles and levers — why Egypt, Babylon, Rome, and Ming China all ran the same course
August 2, 2026 · 3 min read
Empires rise and fall on a real, roughly measurable cycle -- and every rise and every fall inside that cycle was still somebody's specific act of will on a specific day. They…
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Alaska and Hawaii Aren't California
July 30, 2026 · 3 min read
Alaska and Hawaii both report into the San Francisco Fed district — the same district that already dominates every national reading. Their own sentiment is invisible by…
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The District Isn't a Number
July 30, 2026 · 2 min read
A Fed district's sentiment reading looks like a bare data point — expanding, mixed, contracting. Underneath the label is population, money, and formation history that the word…
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What This Blog Is, and How Oluwadi Actually Gets Built
July 27, 2026 · 4 min read
Why this exists, how Oluwadi and Osparna share one graph behind two different doors, and an honest account of where AI does and doesn't get trusted in building and running both.
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Oluwadi is open now — no account, and anyone can add to it
July 27, 2026 · 2 min read
Oluwadi no longer requires an account, and anyone can propose a company, investor, university, or organization for inclusion.
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Introducing Oluwadi — the network, opened to read
June 27, 2026 · 3 min read
Oluwadi is live: a public, continuously updated way to read the U.S. venture network region by region and thesis by thesis. Why a region's single label hides more than it tells…
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Hallucination Driven Development: Why Desire Path Design Is the Future
February 1, 2026 · 3 min read
Steve Yegge stopped fighting his coding agent's 'hallucinations' and started building the commands it kept guessing at instead. That's just Convention over Configuration for the…
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The Two-Hour Specification
December 10, 2025 · 5 min read
How writing a genuinely detailed spec -- and following a Research/Plan/Implement discipline with Claude Code -- took a demo from a month down to five hours, and why "Vibe Coding"…
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Venture Capital Due Diligence Checklist: 6 Essential Steps
October 23, 2025 · 6 min read
The battle-tested framework we use ourselves to pressure-test a deal across eight domains -- team, product, financials, business model, traction, competition, and legal -- before…
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Technology Due Diligence Checklist: A 10-Point Investor Guide
October 23, 2025 · 7 min read
A field guide to technology due diligence, sharpened on the deals we've won and the ones we wisely walked away from -- architecture, security, infrastructure, IP, team, and…
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The AI Breakup: It's Not You. It's Me.
September 4, 2025 · 2 min read
AI adoption is in its honeymoon phase -- and some users are already forming emotional attachments to their chatbots. What that says about the MIT study on failed AI pilots, and…
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RTO -- At What Cost
November 6, 2024 · 2 min read
Fully remote jobs going back to the office doesn't correlate with productivity -- so why are large corporations doing it anyway? A look at what return-to-office is actually…
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We Know What to Look For, Because We Build
July 3, 2024 · 1 min read
Osparna's team builds things outside of work too -- and that's not incidental. It's exactly what makes the diligence sharper. I work with people I like.
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Who's on Your Team?
April 23, 2020 · 2 min read
Coachability, character, and the ability to work well in a distributed environment now matter more than raw technical expertise -- what COVID-era diligence is teaching investors…
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Moneyball for Investing
February 28, 2020 · 3 min read
Why "Moneyball for Investing" became our catchphrase, why it's the wrong analogy, and what Osparna actually is: the diary you keep to track what you were thinking when you made…
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How to Buy a...House
February 23, 2020 · 4 min read
Before Osparna focused on investors, the alpha version was general enough to score any decision -- including which house to buy. Here's how establish-weight-rate-review played…
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Managing Bias
February 3, 2020 · 3 min read
Biases underpin our intuition about investing, whether we admit it or not. Why declaring your criteria explicitly -- and being able to look back at what you decided and why -- is…
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Introducing Osparna
November 11, 2019 · 1 min read
The first post on osparna.com: why we built a platform to bring decision science to investing, and what to expect from this space going forward.
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