Washington, DC — and pieces with no single place

Two policy decisions, eighteen months apart, turned a boutique activity into an industry.

The Strait of Hormuz is 21 miles wide. What actually determines who in America absorbs a war fought over it isn't the water -- it's a spending bill still sitting in Congress, and…

Empires rise and fall on a real, roughly measurable cycle -- and every rise and every fall inside that cycle was still somebody's specific act of will on a specific day. They…

A Fed district's sentiment reading looks like a bare data point — expanding, mixed, contracting. Underneath the label is population, money, and formation history that the word…

Why this exists, how Oluwadi and Osparna share one graph behind two different doors, and an honest account of where AI does and doesn't get trusted in building and running both.

Oluwadi no longer requires an account, and anyone can propose a company, investor, university, or organization for inclusion.

Oluwadi is live: a public, continuously updated way to read the U.S. venture network region by region and thesis by thesis. Why a region's single label hides more than it tells…

Steve Yegge stopped fighting his coding agent's 'hallucinations' and started building the commands it kept guessing at instead. That's just Convention over Configuration for the…

How writing a genuinely detailed spec -- and following a Research/Plan/Implement discipline with Claude Code -- took a demo from a month down to five hours, and why "Vibe Coding"…

The battle-tested framework we use ourselves to pressure-test a deal across eight domains -- team, product, financials, business model, traction, competition, and legal -- before…

A field guide to technology due diligence, sharpened on the deals we've won and the ones we wisely walked away from -- architecture, security, infrastructure, IP, team, and…

AI adoption is in its honeymoon phase -- and some users are already forming emotional attachments to their chatbots. What that says about the MIT study on failed AI pilots, and…

Fully remote jobs going back to the office doesn't correlate with productivity -- so why are large corporations doing it anyway? A look at what return-to-office is actually…

Osparna's team builds things outside of work too -- and that's not incidental. It's exactly what makes the diligence sharper. I work with people I like.

Coachability, character, and the ability to work well in a distributed environment now matter more than raw technical expertise -- what COVID-era diligence is teaching investors…

Why "Moneyball for Investing" became our catchphrase, why it's the wrong analogy, and what Osparna actually is: the diary you keep to track what you were thinking when you made…

Before Osparna focused on investors, the alpha version was general enough to score any decision -- including which house to buy. Here's how establish-weight-rate-review played…

Biases underpin our intuition about investing, whether we admit it or not. Why declaring your criteria explicitly -- and being able to look back at what you decided and why -- is…

The first post on osparna.com: why we built a platform to bring decision science to investing, and what to expect from this space going forward.